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Aug 6, 2026
UFC Vegas 120: Full Card Analysis, Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Twelve fights in Las Vegas, a retirement in the middle of the main card, and a lightweight main event where both arguments hold up.
Aug 1, 2026
UFC Belgrade: Full Card Analysis — Medić vs. Rodriguez
Serbia hosts its first UFC event, and the model backs the local fighters in six of nine bouts. The three exceptions are where this card gets interesting.
Jul 25, 2026
UFC Abu Dhabi: The Model's Full Card Breakdown for Ankalaev vs. Guskov
A short notice finisher, three fighters from one Moscow gym, and a former champion trying to answer his first loss. This card runs deeper than the co-main slot.
Jul 17, 2026
UFC Oklahoma City: Breaking Down Du Plessis vs. Usman
A former champion looks to reclaim his crown, a legend tests a new division, and the undercard is stacked with undefeated prospects who have never seen round three.
Jul 10, 2026
UFC 329: The Model's Full Card Breakdown
Thirteen years, two different fighters, and the most loaded International Fight Week card in a long time
Jun 27, 2026
UFC FIGHT NIGHT 280: FIZIEV VS. TORRES The Model's Full Card Picks: Baku, Azerbaijan | June 27, 2026
Thirteen fights, a freshly crowned champion reshaping the lightweight picture, and a card built for a city that has been waiting for this moment.
Jun 19, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi : The Model's Full Card Breakdown
A flyweight title eliminator headlining a card loaded with roster consequences, a debut that could turn heads, and one ranked women's bantamweight fight where the model is going against the grain.
Jun 12, 2026
UFC FREEDOM 250: THE MOST HISTORIC CARD IN UFC HISTORY
Seven fights. Two titles. The South Lawn of the White House. The model has the full card.
Jun 5, 2026
UFC Vegas 118: The Model's Read on Muhammad vs. Bonfim, Top to Bottom
A chalky Apex card of finish-heavy mismatches and rising prospects, topped by a welterweight headliner that lands as close to a coin flip as it gets.
May 29, 2026
The Model Goes to Macau for UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
A card built on debutants, reset stories, and one heavyweight read the model is leaning into hard.
May 20, 2026
The Brier score is what accuracy wishes it were
A 1950 weather-forecast metric that still does a better job grading probabilities than most sports conversations do
May 15, 2026
Allen, Costa, and the Quiet Math of UFC Vegas 117
A 13-fight card built on stylistic puzzles, late-notice mismatches, and a featherweight main event the model lands on by a hair.
May 8, 2026
UFC 328: WHERE THE MODEL LANDS
Two title fights anchor a stacked Newark card built on grappler-versus-striker matchups
May 1, 2026
UFC Perth: The Model Reads a Polarized Card
Della Maddalena vs. Prates is a true toss-up. Most of what comes before it isn't.
Apr 29, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 10 | UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal | When One Bet Was Enough
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 10 | UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal | When One Bet Was Enough
Apr 25, 2026
Sterling vs. Zalal: One Bet, Twelve Fights We're Skipping
One Soft Edge, two monitoring picks, ten Passes. The discipline is in what we're not betting.
Apr 25, 2026
UFC FIGHT NIGHT: STERLING VS. ZALAL — THE MODEL'S FULL CARD ANALYSIS
Thirteen fights at the Meta APEX on Saturday night, with the featherweight main event carrying real title implications and a women’s bantamweight co-main that could decide the next challenger. Below those two bouts, the card thins into…
Apr 22, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 09 | UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Sharp Hit, Soft Held, and Price Discipline Mattered
Apr 20, 2026
Hello, MMA Fight Advisor
First post on the new platform. The content pipeline works — MDX in, typed data out, rendered on the page.
Apr 19, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Post-Fight Results
The Sharp Edge delivered, Soft Edge finished positive, and the main event called it right on direction even without a stake behind it.
Apr 18, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott - Bet Recommendations
The sharpest play of the night sits in the co-main, not the main event.
Apr 17, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, Full Card Breakdown
Saturday, April 18, 2026 | Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg | Paramount+
Apr 15, 2026
Start Here
What MMA Fight Advisor is, what we publish, and how to get the most out of it.
Apr 14, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 08 | UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg | Sharp Was Right, Soft Was Expensive
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 08 | UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg | Sharp Was Right, Soft Was Expensive
Apr 10, 2026
MMA FIGHT ADVISOR — UFC 327: PROCHAZKA vs. ULBERG
Full Card Analytical Breakdown
Apr 10, 2026
UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Bet Recommendations
The model's picks, value tiers, and unit sizing for all 12 fights. Trust the Model, Not the Hype.
Apr 10, 2026
UFC 327 Prop Card: Procházka vs. Ulberg
12 analytical signals across the full card. Value Signal tier only. Speculative and experimental.
Apr 6, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 07 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
The official card won more fights than it lost, yet still finished -0.399u after the Duncan anchor failed to hold
Apr 5, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan — Bet Recommendations Audit
How the model's picks landed across all 13 fights.
Apr 5, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan — Prop Plays Audit
Value Signal and Speculative prop results from the full card.
Apr 4, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan Bet Recommendations
The model's picks, value tiers, and unit sizing for all 13 fights — Trust the Model, Not the Hype.
Apr 4, 2026
UFC Fight Night Prop Signals: Moicano vs. Duncan
The model found five value edges on a card where the main event is anything but settled
Apr 3, 2026
UFC FIGHT NIGHT 272: MOICANO VS. DUNCAN
The MMA Fight Advisor Analytical Preview
Apr 2, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 06 — UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer — One Sharp Win, A Losing Card
The card went 7-5-1 overall, but the official betting slate finished 1-3. Here’s where the model still held up, where the active exposure missed, and what Seattle adds to the feedback loop.
Apr 1, 2026
The Numbers — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan (Main Card)
Statistical preview for every main card fight on the April 4 card. Physical profiles, striking and grappling data, win distribution, and recent form. No picks. No analysis. Just the numbers.
Apr 1, 2026
The Numbers — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan (Prelims)
Statistical preview for every prelim fight on the April 4 card. Physical profiles, striking and grappling data, win distribution, and recent form. No picks. No analysis. Just the numbers.
Mar 28, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer — Prop Signal Card
Nine value signals and three speculative flags identified for Saturday's card in Seattle. Trust the model, not the hype.
Mar 28, 2026
UFC Seattle Bet Recommendations: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
The model's picks, value tiers, and unit sizing for all 13 fights — Trust the Model, Not the Hype.
Mar 27, 2026
UFC FIGHT NIGHT 271: ADESANYA VS. PYFER
The MMA Fight Advisor Analytical Preview
Mar 26, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 05 — UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy: The Card That Delivered
Sharp Edge went 2-0. Soft Edge went 2-1. The model found the live underdog, bet it at +195, and banked positive ROI. Here is the full breakdown.
Mar 22, 2026
Elo, explained
An introduction to the model underneath a lot of fight pricing and prediction
Mar 20, 2026
UFC Fight Night · Evloev vs. Murphy Full Card Model Picks
Our picks for the most likely winner for the entire card in one easy infographic (full analysis article coming soon)
Mar 20, 2026
UFC London Bet Recommendations: Evloev vs. Murphy
The model's picks, value tiers, and unit sizing for all 13 fights — Trust the Model, Not the Hype.
Mar 20, 2026
UFC London Full Card Analysis: Where the Model Lands on Every Fight | Evloev vs. Murphy
Fourteen fights. One historic main event. And one call the model is making against the market.
Mar 20, 2026
UFC London Prop Report: Evloev vs. Murphy
The model finds edge in the undercard. Here is where the market is mispriced. Keep in mind this is still experimental, so tail with caution.
Mar 19, 2026
Why We Track Units, Not Vibes
A quick guide to how MMA Fight Advisor calculates 1u, net profit, and ROI across UFC betting cards.
Mar 18, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 04 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos: The Card That Delivered
The model went 12-2, outpaced 90% of the analyst field, and banked positive ROI. Here is the full breakdown.
Mar 14, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos — Prop Betting Signal Report
What the model flagged, and why the market may be mispriced. *Note - this is experimental and for information only.
Mar 14, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos — Full Card Model Picks
7 Soft Edge plays, 3 Speculative reads, and 4 passes. Here's where the model sees value on Saturday's card.
Mar 13, 2026
UFC Vegas 114 Emmett vs. Vallejos Intelligence Brief: Full Card Picks, Analysis and Model Reads
14 fights. One dominant narrative. The model's complete read on every bout, from early prelims to the most lopsided age gap in UFC main event history.
Mar 11, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 03 — UFC 326: The Card That Humbled Everyone
The model called 7 out of 12 fights correctly on a card that challenged the entire field. Here's what held up, what didn't, and what we're not ready to change yet.
Mar 10, 2026
Anthony Smith, the most important MMA fighter of all time?
A completely serious investigation into a deeply unserious question
Mar 7, 2026
UFC 326: Model Output | Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Full card edge classifications and active bet breakdown for UFC 326.
Mar 5, 2026
UFC 326 Intelligence Brief: Full Card Picks, Analysis and Model Reads
MMA Fight Advisor March 7, 2026 | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Mar 3, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP · ISSUE 02 — UFC Mexico City: Progress, Not Redemption
The model went 10-for-12. Here’s what that means, what it doesn’t, and what we’re building next.
Feb 27, 2026
UFC Mexico City: Model Output | Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Full card edge classifications and active bet breakdown for UFC Fight Night 268.
Feb 24, 2026
THE AUDIT & FEEDBACK LOOP — ISSUE 01 UFC Houston: What We Got Wrong
A full post-mortem on the model's performance at Strickland vs. Hernandez — the misses, the hits, and what changes next.
Feb 21, 2026
Picks for UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
7 model-backed bets for UFC Fight Night on Paramount+ — trust the process, not the hype.
Feb 20, 2026
The Houston Deployment: UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Tactical Briefing
Upgraded Predictive Modeling for the Paramount+ Era
Feb 18, 2026
UFC Houston Executive Report: Strickland vs. Hernandez Tactical Preview
Efficiency meets Exhaustion in a Middleweight Title Eliminator.
Feb 11, 2026
How to Use the Model
To get the most out of our data, it is essential to understand our reporting framework and how to apply our recommendations to your strategy
Feb 11, 2026
The Model is Live!
Data-Driven MMA Intelligence
Feb 4, 2026
Our Data Pipeline
Trust the Model. Not the Hype.